Showing posts with label politics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label politics. Show all posts

Friday, October 12, 2007

The Complex Calculus Of One Man's Vote




I am writing this post in hopes that those who know me but don't know me well from the Political Discussions at Blog Catalog will hear directly from me precisely whom I am supporting and when and why. I believe that most voters' choices in any election are the result of a complex matrix of considerations and concerns, both those explicitly held and those unrecognized and unexamined. This is the story of how one person can be favoring three different candidates in the same election and have specific plans to vote for each of them at different times and under different circumstances.

The journey to understanding at least the explicitly held and conscious concerns that lead to my voting choices begins with Washington State Democratic Party. In their wisdom, the party bosses in my state have announced that ZERO PERCENT of the state's delegates to the Democratic National Convention which will NOMINATE the party's candidate for the 2008
Presidential Election will be determined by the vote of the people in the Washington State Primary election. So if I choose a Democratic ballot, my vote will NOT count for Anything At All.

For this reason, I will choose a Republican ballot in the primary because
I think my vote should count. I also send back every snail mail I get
from the state demo's with a note telling them I'll send money when they count my vote, but that's another thread. Since I am at heart a capitaL eL
Liberal, voting in the Republican primary my goal is to help splinter the Republican vote, hopefully weakening the eventual nominee. In the last Presidential election cycle I was a pretty hard core Deaniac, spending hours and hours each day at http://blogforamerica.com. And while I confess that I find Ron Paul's core platform of dismantling the social safety net that Democrats have spent the entire history of their Party creating to be horrifying, I see in many of his online supporters the same idealism and commitment that characterized Dean campaign supporters and feel the need to praise and applaud their budding involvement and activism in the political process, even though I abhor their candidate. Thus I am a leader of the Ron Paul For President group on Blog Catalog and plan to vote for Ron Paul in the primary, though for extremely different reasons than those
of other supporters in that group.

Were Washington State Democrats to hold a primary election that counted, I would be a John Edwards man. From what I can see all of the major candidates who have any shot at the Democratic nomination are 1) Rich. and 2) Claim to care about poor people. Alone among these Edwards strikes me as genuinely caring about poor people, rather than seeking to appear
to care for political gain. IF the other major Democrats want equal consideration from me, they need to haul their asses to New Orleans and spend some time helping the people there to re-build like Edwards did. My original home town is far from recovered and except for Edwards none of the Democrats seem to talk about New Orleans at all.

Which brings me to state that if John Edwards is the Democratic nominee I will definitely vote for him and actively urge others to do so as well. Should Barrack Obama be the nominee I would just as certainly vote for him, though I suspect I would be a bit less Gung-ho in my cheer-leading.

But if Hillary Clinton is the nominee I will be faced with a terrible choice. I believe that electing Hillary would insure that we Americans are in for another four or eight years of deeply divided government that accomplishes little and hurts everyone. For this reason I can see myself choosing to vote for Guillani or McCain as people more likely to be able to heal divisions and actually get something Done in Washington. What is the calculus of Your vote? Please post a comment and share it with us.

Thursday, October 11, 2007

Amazing how Much they HATE Hillary

As described in a previous post on this blog, I have recently written about why I believe nominating Hillary Clinton is the Deomocrat's only means of possibly losing the 2008 Presidential election. In those comments I point out how extremely polarizing Hillary is and how having her as the candidate would galvanize political opponents like nothing else could. It was not until I began searching the blogosphere for recent posts about Hillary that I learned just how right I was.

It seems amazing to me, but Anti-Hillary bloggers and web sites are more numerous and better organized than blogs and sites supporting any candidate. There is even a site that will provide you with free web hosting and publicity for your Anti-Hillary blog. The level of venom and un-adulterated hatred this woman inspires both on the Left and on the Right is mind-boggling. And that so many Democrats fail to see how making the 2008 campaign a magnet for this hatred is political suicide, frustrates me immensely.

So today, from around the blogosphere I present for your consideration what people are saying about Hillary Clinton this week:


First, to lead off with a positive, blogger Kentucky Democrat

kydem.blogspot.com/

reports that Hillary has been endorsed by Sen Evan Bayh, D IN. Does this endorsement mean anything to you or change your intention of voting for or against Hillary Clinton?

Moving on the the more numerous negative reactions that dominated my search results:

Blogger Newsalert reports that Jesse Jackson Jr. has condemned Hillary and urged people to back Obama

nalert.blogspot.com/2007/10/jesse-jackson-jr-attacks-hillary.html

Does this change anyone's scorecard? More or less likely to support Hillary after Jackson's rebuke?

A rather rabid anti-tax crank takes Hillary to task over her $5,000/per child tax credit proposal at

ktcatspost.blogspot.com/2007/10/hillary-clinton.html

Blogger Prisoner of Starvation writes much more eloquently about Hillary's position on Iran:

prisonerofstarvation.blogspot.com/2007/10/hillary-clinton-covers-her-ass-on...

And finally, conservative religious blogger Freedom Eden blasts a comparison of Hillary to Ronald Reagan

freedomeden.blogspot.com/2007/10/hillary-clinton-as-new-reagan.html

I don't necessarily agree with any of the bloggers linked above, but having glimpsed just a bit of all the Hillary-hatred floating free around the blogosphere I am more convinced than ever that nominating Hillary is the only way the Democrats can lose in '08.

Wednesday, October 10, 2007

On Blog Catalog All (Political) Roads Lead To Canada

The post below originally appeared on The Thin Red Line on October 9, 2007.


As I have mentioned in passing, I have been using Blog Catalog more and more, and primarily to meet and socialize with the kinds of thoughtful, logical people who can make an online argument fun, for those of us who like that sort of thing. I lead two discussion groups over there, Skilled Political Debate (moderated) and Ron Paul For President.

Don't faint, Mom. I am not supporting or working for Ron Paul, and largely function as a devil's advocate to respectfully question supporters claims and lead discussion threads so that they become conversations worth remembering. I am, however, working for blog catalog as an intern. I think the site owner and I agreed on the job title Ambassador, but he is a brilliant mile a minute kind of guy who occasionally pops in to lavish praise or ask a few questions or share news but mostly says, I trust you, do what you think best.

So it was that Friday afternoon found me struggling to lead a discussion of Hillary's Presidential campaign. It was a slow day on the boards and we only had a handful of our most skilled debaters on hand and I painstakingly led the discussion to the point of getting someone to state what to me is SO obvious. That the only way the Democrats could possibly lose in 2008 is to nominate Hillary Clinton. Hillary is an INCREDIBLY polarizing figure. (shouting intentional). As many of us on the left dislike her as our counterparts on the right. Nominating Hillary would guarantee a replay of every bullshit trumped up scandal of the Bill Clinton administration, would guarantee we would see lots of us real Liberals who are sick to death of the same old do Nothing Democrats defect to third parties, or even God help us, Ron Paul who despite having a few policy positions that are enormously appealing to me-- ending the War On Iraq and ending the War On Drugs, is basically running on a platform of dismantling the social safety net that Democratic Party spent its entire history building up and is thus Not gonna get my support in November.

And having so laboriously gotten to having this point made, I waited in vane for anyone to pick up and run with it. And I thought to myself if we can't get Democrats to realize what a disaster Hillary is going to be, maybe I should just bag it and move to Canada where they've already won all the things we Liberals have to fight for here. This discussion was not one of our better ones,
like the one on Health Care Reform

So it was timely that I happened on Friday to scan a copy of WAIT! Don't Move To Canada! a strategy guide for despairing liberals to buck up, reclaim the word and the principles and reform the country by speaking out, blogging, writing letters and not giving up. And I shrugged and said to myself 'but I already do all of those things'. This one comes mildly recommended if you feel you need a book to tell you to write letters to the editor, get involved in the blogosphere, and speak your mind. Which may be the weakest recommendation I've ever given a book.

A final note, all across the Blogosphere on October 15th, that's one week from today, bloggers will unite to speak out on enviornmental issues. If you blog, please consider planning an environmental topic or theme for next Monday. More info here.